1.FC Köln vs VfB Stuttgart

1. FC Köln has won only one of its last 14 Bundesliga home games against VfB Stuttgart (D6 L7), a 1-0 win in December 2021. In fact, in this millennium, the Cologne club has only recorded a lower win rate at home in the top flight against FC Bayern (6%) than against VfB (13%).

VfB Stuttgart has won three of its last six Bundesliga matches against newly promoted teams (D2, L1), which is the same number of victories as in the previous 20 such matches combined. Following the 1-0 win at St. Pauli in May, VfB could now win consecutive Bundesliga matches against newly promoted teams for the first time since 2015 (3).

Despite the recent defeat in Leipzig, 1. FC Köln, with seven points after four games, is enjoying its best Bundesliga season since 2021/22 (also 7, more than in 2016/17: 10). That season, as well as 2016/17, were also the only two this millennium in which the club won its first two home games in the top flight.

VfB Stuttgart has collected all six of their Bundesliga points this season at home. The last time they started a Bundesliga season with two defeats from their first two away games was in 2017/18, when they lost their first six away matches, and their current run of three consecutive away defeats is their longest since the 2023/24 winter break.

1. FC Köln has scored nine goals this Bundesliga season, surpassed only by FC Bayern (18) and Eintracht Frankfurt (11). Effzeh last scored that many goals after four games of a Bundesliga season 48 years ago (13 in 1977/78).