FC Augsburg vs Holstein Kiel

Holstein Kiel’s 5-1 win over FC Augsburg in the first half of this season is their biggest-ever victory in the Bundesliga. FCA have won four of their last six home games against promoted sides (D1, L1), having previously been winless in their last 15 top-flight home fixtures against promoted teams.

Since the 5-1 defeat in Kiel, FC Augsburg have conceded just 10 goals in 16 Bundesliga games – a league low in 2025. Holstein Kiel have shipped a league-high 36 goals this calendar year and also have the worst defence in the division overall (74 goals conceded in 2024/25).

FC Augsburg have lost two of their last four Bundesliga games (D1, L1) after previously enjoying an 11-match unbeaten run. With 24 points and a goal difference of +5, FCA are still the third-best team in the second half of the season behind only FC Bayern (33) and Bayer 04 Leverkusen (29).

Holstein Kiel are unbeaten in their last two league games (W1, D1) but have never put together a three-match undefeated run in the Bundesliga. No side with a maximum of 22 points from 31 matchdays has ever managed to avoid relegation.

Holstein Kiel have conceded 74 goals in their first 31 games in the division – the last Bundesliga debutant to ship as many goals across their first 31 matches was FC St. Pauli in 1977/78 (also 74). Only Tasmania Berlin (100 in 1965/66) and Tennis Borussia Berlin (79 in 1974/75) have ever let in more goals across the first 31 top-flight fixtures in their history.