FC St. Pauli vs Union Berlin

FC St. Pauli and 1. FC Union Berlin are meeting for the 24th time in professional football, with Union losing just one of their last 11 competitive matches against the Kiezkickers (2-3 A in February 2019 in the 2nd division, plus W8 D2). Only against VfL Bochum (13) have Union Berlin celebrated more competitive wins than against St. Pauli (12).

1. FC Union Berlin recently celebrated their first points under Steffen Baumgart in a 2-1 home win against FSV Mainz 05, ending a run of 10 Bundesliga games without a win (D3 L7). Baumgart last celebrated two BL wins in a row as coach in May 2023 with 1. FC Köln (2).

FC St. Pauli (14 goals) and Union Berlin (16 goals) are the two weakest attacking teams in the Bundesliga this season. Both have the lowest chance conversion rate in the league (9.8% each) and only FC Augsburg (19.4 xG) has a lower expected goals value than Union (20.0 xG) and the Kiezkickers (20.3 xG).

FC St. Pauli have won just one of their eight home games this Bundesliga season (D2 L5), fewer than any other team, and are bottom of the home table with five points. In seven of the first eight home games, the Kiezkicker have failed to score - a BL negative record. Just three goals after eight home games is a negative record in the top flight and last happened to SpVgg Greuther Fürth in 2012-13.

1. FC Union Berlin have lost all of their last five Bundesliga away games (only Holstein Kiel have also lost all five) - another away defeat would see Union Berlin set their record of losing away games in the Bundesliga from September to December 2023. However, the Köpenickers have won five of their last six away league games against promoted teams (L1).